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Election
76.81%
2008
83.62%
Probability %
Average return %
+3.11%
-0.01%
-5.20%
+2.19%
+0.98%
+0.46%
+3.22%
+0.49%
-3.14%
-0.70%
+6.05%
-1.27%
2026
+7.89%
+5.70%
-9.59%
+10.78%
+0.87%
-0.48%
-2.06%
+2.65%
-6.68%
--
2025
+3.04%
-6.39%
-6.56%
-2.04%
+6.52%
+1.28%
+0.86%
+5.80%
+0.44%
-0.81%
+1.56%
-0.92%
2024
-1.37%
+2.23%
+3.34%
-6.99%
+5.74%
-3.02%
+10.64%
-2.87%
+0.96%
-3.50%
+9.90%
-5.11%
2023
+10.26%
-2.19%
-5.10%
-4.42%
-2.39%
+9.00%
+4.28%
-3.34%
-7.48%
-6.76%
+11.67%
+8.66%
2022
-9.65%
-1.41%
-2.64%
-9.30%
-0.32%
-9.05%
+13.24%
-4.05%
-17.33%
+11.16%
+6.81%
-11.01%
2021
+2.73%
+7.54%
+1.57%
+4.31%
+1.38%
-0.94%
-3.37%
+3.33%
-4.86%
+5.22%
-2.95%
+6.47%
2020
-2.30%
-10.05%
-25.50%
+17.79%
+6.94%
+2.96%
+4.55%
+3.36%
-6.72%
+0.32%
+20.74%
+5.42%
2019
+15.42%
+4.77%
-3.57%
+4.22%
-8.44%
+6.02%
+1.01%
-4.48%
+2.46%
+1.60%
+3.79%
+1.79%
2018
+2.54%
-4.34%
-1.89%
+3.47%
+0.50%
-2.35%
+0.51%
+5.60%
-2.50%
-14.62%
+1.93%
-17.08%
2017
+4.08%
-2.03%
+4.07%
-1.03%
+1.18%
-1.14%
+6.76%
+1.08%
+1.00%
+0.31%
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