Stifel Financial Corporation 5.20% Senior Notes due 2047 - SFB - Seasonality

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Stifel Financial Corporation 5.20% Senior Notes due 2047 - SFB - Seasonality

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Correlation

Pre-election

61.34%

2012

75.37%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	78%	67%	50%	75%	88%	56%	89%
Average return %	+2.45%	+0.39%	-1.69%	+0.47%	+0.32%	+1.65%	+1.25%	-0.51%	+0.96%	-4.95%	+1.01%	-2.71%
2026	-0.58%	-1.31%	-4.36%	+3.44%	-1.74%	+0.76%	-1.25%	-0.30%	-2.64%	--	--	--
2025	+1.71%	+6.97%	-7.96%	-3.08%	+2.72%	+7.90%	-5.82%	+2.56%	+0.09%	+1.79%	-1.02%	-3.03%
2024	+0.29%	+5.73%	+8.95%	-8.93%	-0.09%	+1.81%	+0.95%	+4.68%	+1.16%	-4.93%	-0.40%	-8.13%
2023	+17.65%	-6.24%	-7.28%	+10.47%	-7.72%	+8.18%	-5.32%	-3.02%	+2.92%	-12.56%	+9.95%	-0.58%
2022	-3.87%	-2.43%	+1.68%	-12.83%	+7.56%	-4.80%	+12.79%	-11.94%	+4.08%	-10.76%	+8.01%	-8.82%
2021	-1.30%	-2.51%	+3.05%	+1.88%	-0.83%	+0.65%	+0.26%	+0.98%	+1.49%	-1.40%	-4.18%	+1.48%
2020	+3.67%	-3.84%	-13.19%	+14.07%	+2.29%	-0.89%	+3.86%	-0.71%	+2.80%	-3.13%	-0.08%	-0.23%
2019	+7.50%	+6.39%	+2.77%	+1.04%	+0.86%	+0.45%	+3.93%	+3.20%	-0.94%	-1.87%	+0.82%	-1.27%
2018	-3.01%	+0.79%	+1.15%	-1.87%	-0.21%	+0.75%	+1.85%	0.00%	-3.92%	-6.76%	-5.18%	-2.47%
2017	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	+1.16%	-1.35%

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