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Election
60.58%
2008
68.03%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.76%
-5.08%
-2.86%
+0.99%
-0.60%
+2.42%
+2.39%
-0.69%
+0.38%
+3.22%
+1.12%
-1.92%
2026
+8.36%
-0.63%
-12.45%
+7.57%
+4.87%
-0.56%
-1.90%
-1.33%
-2.52%
--
2025
+0.13%
-8.03%
-12.62%
+8.70%
+11.81%
+1.39%
-1.17%
+27.83%
+5.18%
-9.04%
+1.10%
-1.84%
2024
+1.36%
-21.29%
+5.64%
-4.32%
-4.33%
-9.70%
+18.03%
-1.28%
+2.75%
-3.04%
+2.14%
-5.78%
2023
+16.26%
-3.68%
-5.29%
-2.44%
+6.23%
+1.73%
-2.99%
-9.21%
+3.90%
+2.98%
+10.68%
2022
-8.63%
-8.69%
-1.30%
-1.07%
-6.40%
+12.62%
+1.67%
-19.76%
-11.44%
+16.71%
+1.27%
-9.40%
2021
+7.09%
-1.02%
+3.01%
+5.11%
-3.71%
-3.67%
+2.71%
+1.91%
+9.59%
+4.47%
+4.70%
2020
-8.72%
-9.43%
-5.52%
-2.12%
+4.57%
-3.17%
+10.39%
-0.09%
-1.74%
+2.58%
+1.07%
-12.59%
2019
+1.51%
+0.28%
-0.41%
+1.77%
-15.19%
+6.98%
+1.48%
-3.69%
+9.57%
+7.85%
-3.80%
+5.66%
2018
+6.66%
-2.59%
+1.95%
-4.67%
-0.22%
+6.83%
+0.83%
+4.16%
-3.05%
+9.93%
-2.66%
-8.05%
2017
-6.29%
-3.81%
+2.44%
+3.44%
-4.27%
+7.32%
-3.52%
-12.47%
+9.41%
-9.49%
+3.53%
-0.66%
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