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Election
89.94%
2000
89.05%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.71%
-1.31%
-5.19%
-0.92%
-0.35%
+4.40%
+5.20%
-1.61%
-1.05%
-2.45%
+4.72%
-0.57%
2026
+5.90%
+9.95%
-17.84%
+9.99%
+1.61%
+18.51%
+0.49%
+1.89%
-7.05%
--
2025
+9.69%
-1.75%
-11.15%
-21.93%
+9.01%
+3.55%
-0.15%
+9.82%
+0.05%
-8.89%
+5.61%
+3.86%
2024
-4.89%
-4.30%
+9.68%
-6.67%
-4.63%
-8.35%
+32.21%
-3.09%
+7.59%
-15.61%
-3.76%
-10.24%
2023
+18.89%
-4.14%
-5.88%
+7.15%
-13.17%
+25.00%
+5.93%
-4.93%
-11.44%
+1.76%
+6.88%
+7.92%
2022
-7.41%
-6.84%
-14.08%
-14.05%
-1.22%
-11.65%
-7.18%
-9.48%
-14.63%
+4.36%
+4.12%
-8.08%
2021
-2.84%
+0.78%
+14.20%
+3.56%
+4.85%
-5.45%
-3.87%
-1.92%
-9.29%
+2.52%
-2.77%
+7.93%
2020
-9.81%
-30.41%
+10.20%
+13.84%
+11.10%
+10.00%
+0.56%
+2.47%
+10.90%
-3.12%
2019
+5.60%
+4.74%
+2.82%
+7.66%
-13.22%
+13.67%
+2.06%
-9.98%
+8.69%
+4.79%
+4.24%
+5.07%
2018
-2.04%
-4.24%
-7.58%
-1.66%
-4.62%
+12.54%
-5.98%
+4.21%
-20.43%
+12.30%
-8.49%
2017
+8.12%
+2.54%
+4.50%
+1.09%
+2.24%
-0.03%
+2.35%
+4.84%
+7.01%
+5.00%
+0.04%
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