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Election
89.30%
2004
95.04%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.85%
-0.17%
-3.01%
+5.45%
+7.35%
-0.60%
+4.90%
+1.23%
-3.20%
-3.15%
+0.34%
+7.74%
2026
+0.60%
-0.20%
-5.15%
+11.69%
-5.42%
-9.09%
-2.39%
+13.81%
+1.76%
--
2025
-6.51%
-3.48%
-1.49%
+3.45%
-2.29%
-2.35%
+4.80%
-4.37%
-1.96%
-2.00%
+1.59%
+12.28%
2024
-10.54%
+0.69%
+9.86%
+5.64%
-4.35%
-0.83%
+18.54%
-2.81%
-3.44%
+3.75%
-0.54%
-5.26%
2023
-7.14%
+4.88%
-16.82%
+2.37%
+18.49%
-7.80%
-1.92%
-9.22%
-3.24%
-13.75%
-6.00%
+33.26%
2022
-12.68%
+11.94%
+3.17%
-1.82%
+9.10%
-6.78%
+7.83%
-3.37%
-17.05%
-2.37%
-0.52%
2021
-7.64%
+1.79%
-0.66%
-0.88%
+6.70%
+1.88%
+15.81%
+14.89%
-6.17%
+9.70%
-13.64%
+23.26%
2020
+7.04%
-14.08%
-17.49%
+20.00%
+22.79%
+5.62%
-8.94%
+12.62%
-8.30%
-8.60%
+15.35%
+3.86%
2019
+25.21%
+1.02%
+7.94%
+8.37%
+11.91%
+12.26%
+5.28%
+5.54%
-9.25%
+3.58%
+5.85%
2018
+5.29%
-4.23%
+1.66%
+4.35%
+16.87%
-1.60%
-9.61%
-2.28%
-2.91%
-4.00%
-2.50%
2017
+14.88%
0.00%
-11.14%
+1.36%
-0.33%
+2.68%
+6.21%
-4.92%
+8.09%
-0.90%
+9.06%
-0.55%
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