First Commerce Bank - CMRB - Seasonality

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First Commerce Bank - CMRB - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

70.99%

2023

91.12%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	56%	56%	56%	56%	63%	78%	89%	71%	50%	50%	75%
Average return %	+1.39%	+0.49%	-3.65%	-3.33%	+1.51%	-0.50%	+2.29%	+1.87%	-0.51%	-0.99%	+1.75%	+4.17%
2026	+7.37%	-6.72%	-2.88%	+2.97%	+1.12%	+3.01%	+8.45%	+3.40%	+0.27%	--	--	--
2025	-7.00%	-1.51%	+2.62%	+4.89%	-8.52%	+0.89%	+1.54%	+6.06%	0.00%	-2.04%	+7.92%	+20.46%
2024	-1.62%	+1.49%	+5.37%	-12.81%	+15.04%	-11.54%	+4.35%	+2.50%	-7.48%	-6.15%	-1.87%	-4.58%
2023	+17.04%	+1.27%	-16.87%	-13.53%	-4.35%	+4.55%	+6.26%	+0.16%	+0.98%	+1.13%	-1.60%	+0.16%
2022	+1.69%	+7.50%	+1.09%	+0.15%	-0.15%	+0.77%	+1.07%	+6.17%	-5.53%	-2.85%	+1.24%	+3.05%
2021	+3.93%	+8.00%	+18.11%	-7.67%	+6.60%	-0.88%	-3.75%	+0.19%	+5.56%	+0.70%	+2.09%	+0.68%
2020	-7.20%	-2.59%	-34.51%	-6.22%	-2.02%	+1.18%	-1.45%	+0.29%	+1.18%	+3.20%	+12.96%	+7.98%
2019	-3.10%	-3.20%	-7.44%	+2.50%	+3.66%	-2.52%	+3.45%	-5.50%	+0.53%	+6.14%	-2.31%	+5.75%
2018	--	+0.15%	+1.63%	-0.29%	+2.19%	0.00%	+0.71%	+3.55%	+0.68%	-8.03%	-4.44%	-0.15%
2017	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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