ECA Marcellus Trust I - Seasonality

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ECA Marcellus Trust I - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Election

85.97%

2023

90.03%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	60%	60%	50%	70%	60%	60%	67%	78%	56%	56%	78%
Average return %	+9.85%	+1.46%	-2.49%	+8.82%	+10.72%	-1.59%	+1.63%	-6.37%	-0.89%	-2.43%	-4.47%	-11.57%
2026	+21.76%	-11.37%	+5.62%	-5.61%	+14.64%	-3.28%	+5.60%	-18.06%	-1.29%	--	--	--
2025	-5.02%	+7.53%	+2.00%	-8.34%	+15.26%	+17.48%	-0.47%	-6.03%	-2.03%	-15.52%	+20.41%	-16.51%
2024	-8.98%	+7.29%	+16.21%	-6.94%	+8.52%	+1.13%	-2.49%	-5.49%	-6.38%	+2.50%	+1.73%	+6.71%
2023	-23.41%	-1.91%	-14.29%	+9.09%	-13.19%	-7.20%	-12.07%	-30.39%	+8.03%	-21.64%	-20.12%	-8.35%
2022	+40.87%	+21.69%	+42.59%	+20.13%	+50.27%	-43.88%	+51.92%	+27.43%	-20.20%	+4.56%	+1.98%	-20.23%
2021	+44.01%	+16.34%	-12.50%	+17.91%	+27.21%	+25.01%	+3.51%	+0.28%	+28.44%	+8.60%	-0.03%	-17.11%
2020	-18.29%	-12.24%	-33.20%	+61.61%	-15.90%	-1.88%	-25.00%	-10.14%	-3.23%	+10.00%	-3.03%	-40.31%
2019	+24.32%	-0.54%	-3.28%	+6.78%	-2.12%	-5.95%	-2.30%	-25.88%	-3.17%	-12.30%	-42.06%	+16.13%
2018	+2.33%	-4.55%	-17.62%	-1.73%	+17.65%	+5.00%	-7.14%	0.00%	-5.13%	-4.86%	+5.11%	-20.00%
2017	+20.93%	-7.69%	-10.42%	-4.65%	+4.88%	-2.33%	+4.76%	+4.55%	-4.35%	+6.82%	-4.26%	-4.44%

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