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Election
95.38%
2020
95.61%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.20%
-1.57%
+0.36%
+2.00%
+3.03%
-1.19%
-2.23%
+2.93%
-4.84%
+0.50%
+4.60%
-0.24%
2026
+4.47%
+0.33%
-15.77%
+6.45%
-0.52%
+4.34%
+3.19%
0.00%
-6.91%
--
2025
-5.13%
+26.80%
-11.65%
-0.68%
-3.07%
-8.02%
+7.99%
-2.25%
+7.61%
+2.18%
2024
-8.76%
+0.18%
-2.24%
+6.16%
+8.30%
+0.16%
+8.12%
+9.78%
-2.83%
-7.61%
-3.55%
2023
+4.23%
-5.60%
+8.75%
+7.56%
-5.24%
-2.03%
-13.18%
-0.22%
-7.78%
+3.72%
+15.91%
-2.35%
2022
-9.40%
-4.31%
-10.47%
+4.78%
+4.80%
-9.16%
-3.36%
-13.96%
+1.06%
+14.25%
2021
+3.17%
-9.51%
+3.29%
+4.99%
+11.66%
-9.12%
-0.88%
-1.95%
-3.20%
+2.83%
-0.56%
-3.39%
+0.70%
-1.46%
-2.06%
-1.48%
+0.99%
+5.85%
-1.45%
-12.30%
+5.95%
+2.22%
2019
+2.08%
+15.27%
-2.80%
+7.87%
-1.05%
+5.80%
+3.05%
-2.96%
+5.25%
2018
+6.80%
-8.55%
-2.28%
-6.71%
+5.05%
-8.82%
+3.74%
+5.24%
-5.17%
-5.01%
+7.18%
-5.47%
2017
-3.96%
+8.99%
+1.20%
-4.07%
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