Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCC - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCC - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

87.24%

2016

85.31%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	67%	60%	70%	70%	70%	80%	70%	60%	56%	56%	56%	56%
Average return %	+18.23%	-6.94%	-4.71%	+4.76%	+9.89%	-10.65%	-4.89%	+9.78%	+3.76%	-1.71%	+20.09%	-2.99%
2026	-28.80%	-10.80%	-0.62%	+10.31%	-10.42%	-5.97%	-7.86%	+0.91%	-14.57%	--	--	--
2025	+59.02%	+5.58%	-2.55%	-3.36%	+53.58%	+3.78%	-22.94%	+48.82%	+24.55%	-19.03%	+1.15%	+5.19%
2024	+21.18%	+6.80%	+22.73%	+0.74%	+6.62%	-6.90%	-11.85%	-5.04%	+1.77%	+13.04%	+138.46%	+5.48%
2023	+31.62%	-2.37%	-10.05%	+4.56%	+3.16%	-1.54%	+1.84%	+35.84%	-1.33%	+9.80%	+1.54%	+28.79%
2022	0.00%	+0.15%	-5.56%	-4.46%	+1.13%	-44.62%	+31.56%	-5.92%	+0.71%	-0.71%	-17.75%	-17.40%
2021	-20.17%	-2.69%	+13.26%	+16.59%	-9.21%	-33.64%	-22.92%	-15.32%	-12.77%	+8.54%	+23.60%	-24.55%
2020	+2.00%	-21.57%	-41.67%	+16.43%	+28.83%	+4.29%	-9.59%	+13.13%	-14.73%	-5.24%	+58.01%	-18.53%
2019	+132.08%	+4.47%	+4.67%	-10.78%	+22.08%	-11.26%	-13.46%	+20.00%	+32.96%	-19.78%	-11.81%	+18.11%
2018	-21.03%	-19.60%	-15.62%	+2.22%	+18.12%	-2.45%	-4.40%	-0.66%	-7.28%	-9.29%	-7.87%	-9.40%
2017	+6.42%	-29.40%	-11.74%	+15.32%	-15.03%	-8.23%	+10.76%	+6.07%	+9.92%	+7.29%	-4.53%	-14.58%

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