Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCG - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCG - Seasonality

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Correlation

Midterm

71.29%

2016

62.24%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	67%	50%	70%	60%	80%	80%	60%	56%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	-0.22%	-0.43%	-8.74%	+8.35%	+6.71%	-6.61%	-2.14%	+3.39%	+1.61%	+1.58%	+16.14%	+9.04%
2026	-11.95%	+5.20%	-25.28%	+10.11%	-1.31%	-12.11%	-7.72%	+3.54%	-16.67%	--	--	--
2025	-9.09%	+7.56%	+2.15%	-8.65%	+17.43%	-1.22%	-8.91%	+29.17%	-4.33%	-2.96%	-10.32%	+4.11%
2024	+32.91%	-6.14%	+12.47%	-1.45%	+27.12%	-3.63%	-4.37%	-13.70%	+4.93%	+14.26%	+142.01%	+10.69%
2023	+3.77%	+4.00%	-10.84%	-13.33%	-4.98%	+42.86%	-4.33%	+15.68%	-2.11%	-2.15%	-4.72%	+29.37%
2022	-13.17%	+10.52%	+7.42%	+31.68%	-12.87%	-3.41%	-16.71%	+8.76%	-1.30%	+1.32%	-24.68%	-8.62%
2021	-43.05%	+3.29%	+3.00%	+17.72%	-2.06%	-68.74%	-5.39%	-14.95%	+22.59%	+24.57%	+6.99%	-4.74%
2020	-11.17%	+0.06%	-50.06%	+12.64%	+38.89%	-10.40%	+16.25%	+7.14%	-10.04%	-8.37%	+47.83%	-20.00%
2019	+42.31%	0.00%	+3.93%	+10.90%	+25.80%	-14.90%	-7.08%	+6.63%	+12.32%	-12.62%	-11.67%	+13.21%
2018	-1.58%	-16.54%	-14.05%	+9.65%	-6.12%	+14.29%	-5.00%	-5.26%	-10.11%	+12.48%	-1.98%	+18.16%
2017	+8.84%	-12.24%	-16.09%	+14.19%	-14.76%	-8.88%	+21.88%	-3.08%	+2.54%	-12.28%	+1.76%	+39.19%

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