Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCH - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCH - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

71.48%

2018

84.14%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	70%	50%	70%	50%	70%	80%	67%	67%	50%	56%	56%
Average return %	+2.83%	-2.07%	-8.17%	+8.17%	+6.32%	-7.83%	-2.64%	+3.26%	+5.14%	+1.25%	+12.97%	+7.63%
2026	-15.02%	-1.45%	-10.46%	-0.82%	+4.39%	-13.06%	-8.77%	+3.85%	-14.74%	--	--	--
2025	-3.86%	+1.62%	+2.59%	-5.29%	+14.02%	+0.59%	-6.08%	+31.83%	+2.56%	-3.79%	-5.80%	-2.94%
2024	+36.74%	-7.12%	+2.49%	+8.41%	+19.66%	-2.02%	-4.12%	-11.04%	+3.45%	+11.33%	+124.55%	+15.73%
2023	+21.21%	+13.93%	-21.63%	-7.20%	-1.72%	+36.84%	-3.53%	+10.30%	-3.31%	0.00%	+1.25%	+26.46%
2022	-11.27%	-2.70%	+18.61%	+26.46%	-8.33%	-9.09%	-1.11%	-4.49%	+0.24%	-1.17%	-24.47%	-27.36%
2021	-40.80%	-5.03%	+4.69%	+17.70%	-2.73%	-65.86%	-13.53%	-15.65%	+36.69%	+23.30%	+5.26%	-5.23%
2020	-7.01%	-2.18%	-46.32%	+6.38%	+32.50%	-7.17%	+6.26%	+7.12%	-3.57%	+0.74%	+27.94%	-15.06%
2019	+45.54%	+0.97%	+2.24%	+9.38%	+29.14%	-7.08%	-15.24%	+9.55%	+12.05%	-10.76%	-12.82%	+13.24%
2018	-6.15%	-16.39%	-19.12%	+16.36%	-6.25%	+10.00%	-11.52%	+1.14%	-4.85%	+0.83%	+2.94%	+21.71%
2017	+8.94%	-2.34%	-14.80%	+10.33%	-17.45%	-21.44%	+31.23%	0.00%	+3.00%	-9.22%	-2.14%	+42.08%

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