Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCI - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCI - Seasonality

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Correlation

2007

69.52%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	56%	60%	90%	60%	70%	80%	70%	56%	67%	67%	67%
Average return %	+2.53%	-2.83%	-8.51%	+10.14%	+4.37%	-7.53%	-3.38%	+4.94%	+4.01%	-0.62%	+16.20%	+8.87%
2026	-11.60%	-4.33%	-14.21%	+6.01%	-6.02%	-6.84%	-9.56%	+7.34%	-19.04%	--	--	--
2025	-6.86%	+2.87%	+10.44%	-10.94%	+16.05%	-5.21%	-7.35%	+33.25%	-3.82%	-5.67%	-7.36%	+1.68%
2024	+41.03%	-8.18%	+6.93%	+4.63%	+20.71%	+0.44%	-5.11%	-15.38%	+13.82%	-0.80%	+143.48%	+13.69%
2023	+16.26%	0.00%	-18.53%	+1.72%	-7.17%	+29.09%	-2.68%	+18.13%	-3.52%	+3.17%	-6.15%	+27.87%
2022	-5.68%	+1.72%	+14.08%	+25.93%	-8.82%	-8.60%	-15.29%	+3.61%	+12.33%	-6.92%	-16.54%	-24.42%
2021	-43.16%	+1.91%	-2.62%	+26.38%	-2.69%	-66.39%	-11.49%	-11.58%	+15.08%	+28.62%	+7.51%	-7.73%
2020	-10.99%	+1.08%	-49.91%	+17.38%	+28.33%	-7.05%	+14.73%	+8.95%	-8.93%	-9.80%	+43.48%	-16.30%
2019	+41.12%	+2.65%	+3.81%	+7.83%	+26.74%	-13.82%	-8.44%	+7.20%	+8.33%	-10.67%	-12.78%	+13.06%
2018	-5.31%	-13.26%	-17.79%	+9.12%	-8.90%	+11.88%	-7.99%	+2.63%	-7.68%	+11.46%	-5.74%	+22.85%
2017	+10.53%	-12.73%	-17.34%	+13.32%	-14.50%	-8.82%	+19.35%	-4.74%	+10.50%	-15.00%	-0.12%	+49.14%

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