Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCJ - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCJ - Seasonality

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Correlation

2014

69.62%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	60%	50%	70%	60%	80%	70%	60%	56%	56%	56%	78%
Average return %	+0.54%	-2.33%	-8.64%	+9.51%	+6.32%	-8.71%	-2.98%	+5.13%	+2.12%	+0.10%	+17.37%	+10.84%
2026	-12.42%	-1.47%	-17.86%	+2.18%	-1.07%	-10.86%	-3.23%	+3.00%	-19.43%	--	--	--
2025	-4.71%	+5.31%	+1.48%	-6.43%	+17.98%	-5.39%	-8.96%	+35.30%	-4.73%	-4.34%	-7.33%	+4.41%
2024	+34.07%	-4.24%	+2.50%	-2.44%	+31.35%	-1.32%	-7.86%	-7.41%	+1.57%	+7.02%	+142.40%	+10.83%
2023	+25.11%	+1.34%	-12.68%	-6.90%	-2.76%	+29.40%	-6.37%	+17.65%	-1.56%	+2.22%	-8.07%	+36.82%
2022	-14.50%	-5.26%	+17.28%	+35.26%	-9.53%	-12.69%	-12.56%	+5.07%	+5.76%	+1.39%	-24.00%	-26.32%
2021	-43.38%	+5.19%	+1.23%	+19.51%	-1.53%	-69.12%	-11.07%	-6.42%	+16.94%	+24.14%	+7.64%	+3.23%
2020	-9.85%	-4.32%	-46.84%	+9.22%	+34.44%	-6.20%	+12.16%	+11.55%	-11.97%	-7.60%	+47.19%	-20.00%
2019	+29.55%	+6.67%	+0.53%	+11.26%	+26.76%	-12.99%	-8.00%	+5.80%	+11.78%	-15.20%	-10.40%	+15.94%
2018	-4.38%	-17.50%	-16.67%	+21.21%	-14.00%	+9.88%	+0.53%	-9.16%	-10.20%	+3.23%	+15.00%	+19.57%
2017	+5.96%	-9.02%	-15.38%	+12.26%	-18.49%	-7.76%	+15.54%	-4.08%	+11.49%	-10.00%	-6.07%	+53.05%

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