Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCL - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCL - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

69.98%

2008

73.79%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	75%	50%	80%	60%	80%	70%	50%	56%	63%	57%	56%
Average return %	+0.02%	-2.88%	-7.48%	+9.66%	+4.39%	-5.55%	-4.16%	+3.89%	+3.57%	+1.36%	+15.48%	+8.98%
2026	-12.82%	0.00%	-12.35%	+3.69%	-9.39%	-7.29%	-9.86%	+4.70%	-12.98%	--	--	--
2025	-5.88%	+5.75%	+4.91%	-8.73%	+17.28%	-2.63%	-12.16%	+39.69%	-8.15%	+2.88%	-7.27%	-1.96%
2024	+32.00%	-3.41%	+1.57%	+10.04%	+20.18%	-1.02%	-2.65%	-12.12%	+13.79%	0.00%	+131.06%	+11.48%
2023	+4.33%	-4.84%	-9.09%	-2.80%	-13.17%	+41.02%	-0.52%	+9.80%	-1.54%	+3.12%	-4.55%	+26.98%
2022	-4.34%	-2.27%	+18.55%	+23.47%	-6.93%	-4.26%	-17.00%	-2.28%	+5.48%	+1.30%	-21.79%	-9.18%
2021	-44.57%	+1.96%	+7.56%	+16.81%	-3.06%	-65.79%	-16.61%	-10.33%	+23.45%	+28.33%	+3.90%	-7.75%
2020	-9.55%	-1.37%	-52.31%	+20.45%	+33.08%	-2.82%	+10.83%	+7.54%	-9.51%	-7.91%	+47.21%	-19.53%
2019	+38.92%	0.00%	+2.07%	+8.50%	+31.02%	-13.79%	-9.33%	+8.82%	+11.08%	-12.90%	-9.22%	+8.92%
2018	-6.25%	-12.51%	-18.97%	+8.82%	-7.03%	+6.40%	+2.19%	-6.42%	-6.29%	+8.41%	0.00%	+21.37%
2017	+8.33%	-12.15%	-16.77%	+16.39%	-18.08%	-5.34%	+13.50%	-0.54%	+3.80%	-10.99%	0.00%	+50.47%

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