Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCM - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCM - Seasonality

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Correlation

2007

63.91%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	70%	60%	78%	56%	70%	80%	60%	56%	63%	67%	67%
Average return %	+4.45%	-3.44%	-7.92%	+6.80%	+8.19%	-7.47%	-3.96%	+3.38%	+3.70%	+1.17%	+15.87%	+8.53%
2026	-5.37%	-2.67%	-19.43%	+4.47%	0.00%	-10.05%	-8.75%	+0.91%	-17.38%	--	--	--
2025	-4.35%	+15.13%	-3.85%	-7.33%	+14.57%	-4.50%	-8.66%	+31.25%	-4.11%	0.00%	-13.01%	+4.11%
2024	+43.96%	-4.82%	+3.19%	0.00%	+23.09%	+3.25%	-9.87%	-12.70%	+9.82%	+4.97%	+150.79%	+6.92%
2023	+18.64%	+2.32%	-11.69%	-10.87%	+0.67%	+32.60%	-7.71%	+16.99%	-1.69%	-0.47%	-4.09%	+27.54%
2022	-1.69%	-6.57%	+19.27%	+30.51%	-9.43%	-1.74%	-21.19%	+5.04%	+5.33%	-1.27%	-20.00%	-24.36%
2021	-43.01%	+2.19%	+4.80%	+18.07%	-3.37%	-67.79%	-7.21%	-15.37%	+25.68%	+28.57%	+3.36%	-11.00%
2020	-9.07%	-0.31%	-46.13%	+1.51%	+41.71%	-5.08%	+8.75%	+9.06%	-9.56%	-10.18%	+49.47%	-19.76%
2019	+38.64%	-4.26%	+2.74%	+10.00%	+31.82%	-14.94%	-5.41%	+4.91%	+11.66%	-14.15%	-9.38%	+10.66%
2018	-4.00%	-17.08%	-14.67%	+8.36%	-5.43%	+6.32%	-0.54%	-4.89%	-5.71%	+12.00%	-8.55%	+30.18%
2017	+10.78%	-18.37%	-13.46%	+13.33%	-11.76%	-12.78%	+21.02%	-1.37%	+1.92%	-8.90%	-5.75%	+52.44%

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