Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCN - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCN - Seasonality

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Correlation

Midterm

71.66%

2014

61.45%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	56%	56%	56%	70%	60%	70%	70%	50%	56%	67%	56%	67%
Average return %	+2.03%	-4.29%	-7.93%	+9.80%	+6.75%	-6.85%	-0.78%	+2.95%	+3.46%	-0.85%	+15.64%	+10.70%
2026	-13.11%	0.00%	-19.45%	+13.92%	-6.67%	-15.07%	+2.83%	-0.89%	-14.96%	--	--	--
2025	-5.60%	+5.31%	+2.37%	-6.67%	+18.32%	-6.77%	-4.90%	+30.25%	-5.23%	-4.41%	-11.99%	+8.27%
2024	+40.51%	-6.31%	+10.96%	-9.36%	+33.46%	+0.14%	-5.58%	-12.12%	+3.10%	+6.69%	+139.81%	+10.78%
2023	+10.00%	+3.64%	-5.61%	-14.13%	-4.76%	+39.55%	-10.10%	+17.03%	+0.93%	-1.53%	-13.08%	+41.58%
2022	0.00%	-9.47%	+11.69%	+42.15%	-9.88%	-14.19%	-10.78%	+14.04%	-4.19%	-3.60%	-16.60%	-20.06%
2021	-45.84%	+0.25%	+1.27%	+21.63%	-2.36%	-67.16%	-12.82%	-12.87%	+30.80%	+22.58%	+5.00%	-10.03%
2020	-8.00%	-3.67%	-48.39%	+9.00%	+40.48%	-4.90%	+11.16%	+9.73%	-12.03%	-6.80%	+50.21%	-16.86%
2019	+38.64%	+0.33%	0.00%	+9.15%	+30.24%	-14.25%	-6.17%	+4.57%	+13.55%	-15.78%	-12.86%	+14.69%
2018	-3.20%	-19.42%	-17.95%	+15.63%	-10.81%	+20.12%	-5.15%	-6.91%	-8.46%	+7.37%	+5.81%	+20.88%
2017	+6.95%	-13.58%	-14.19%	+16.65%	-20.55%	-5.99%	+33.76%	-13.33%	+12.64%	-12.20%	-5.56%	+47.06%

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