Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCP - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCP - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

80.91%

2016

84.30%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	70%	60%	80%	70%	60%	70%	60%	78%	67%	67%	67%
Average return %	+2.25%	-1.97%	-8.83%	+7.17%	+7.46%	-7.61%	-0.20%	-1.08%	+9.34%	+1.35%	+12.25%	+7.74%
2026	-17.75%	-1.22%	-17.18%	+8.36%	+1.20%	-16.71%	-1.69%	-3.45%	-10.36%	--	--	--
2025	-6.33%	+7.12%	-1.35%	-4.34%	+13.49%	+5.26%	-3.60%	+31.78%	+5.23%	-2.39%	-8.27%	+0.21%
2024	+32.87%	-3.48%	+2.89%	+0.88%	+23.48%	+1.41%	-4.86%	-18.98%	+10.63%	+10.91%	+127.61%	+14.13%
2023	+16.41%	+6.56%	-16.92%	-11.11%	+5.42%	+35.18%	-2.63%	+3.60%	+1.45%	-1.43%	-8.99%	+37.58%
2022	-3.02%	-5.96%	+21.21%	+28.64%	-6.18%	-5.08%	-12.10%	-7.67%	+16.14%	-5.26%	-24.44%	-22.94%
2021	-39.31%	-3.41%	+2.59%	+13.99%	+1.61%	-67.13%	-12.65%	-12.07%	+34.90%	+26.16%	+11.29%	-17.60%
2020	-7.27%	-5.41%	-44.00%	+2.04%	+32.70%	-9.19%	+14.94%	+5.42%	-5.48%	-2.90%	+31.72%	-17.85%
2019	+47.69%	+0.25%	+6.32%	+4.41%	+30.99%	-10.11%	-9.09%	+2.63%	+14.62%	-10.51%	-10.00%	+10.83%
2018	-11.79%	-7.77%	-21.42%	+12.74%	-9.32%	+5.57%	+1.35%	-5.01%	-1.08%	+2.83%	-3.81%	+18.68%
2017	+11.03%	-6.34%	-20.45%	+16.04%	-18.82%	-15.28%	+28.33%	-7.08%	+7.61%	-5.28%	-4.88%	+46.60%

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