Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCS - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCCS - Seasonality

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Correlation

2016

84.89%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	70%	70%	70%	60%	70%	80%	50%	50%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	+3.68%	-1.33%	-8.87%	+7.82%	+6.57%	-7.95%	-1.07%	+1.74%	+3.27%	+1.69%	+14.89%	+4.97%
2026	-15.24%	-2.14%	-16.47%	+6.55%	+0.32%	-9.68%	-8.57%	-5.47%	-15.87%	--	--	--
2025	-6.24%	+10.10%	-1.20%	-6.34%	+15.21%	-2.24%	-5.96%	+31.98%	+4.58%	-8.38%	-5.93%	+2.30%
2024	+32.78%	-2.70%	+10.93%	-3.17%	+20.86%	+2.00%	-3.08%	-13.56%	-0.67%	+12.27%	+126.05%	+12.58%
2023	+15.47%	+4.58%	-9.38%	-15.86%	+3.28%	+20.63%	-1.32%	+10.00%	0.00%	+5.45%	-6.90%	+29.01%
2022	-9.43%	-1.56%	+15.08%	+27.59%	-9.91%	-10.00%	-2.22%	-4.55%	-0.71%	-4.32%	-18.05%	-18.96%
2021	-43.42%	+6.89%	-2.76%	+18.34%	-2.00%	-66.12%	-12.05%	-10.96%	+26.92%	+28.79%	+11.76%	-10.74%
2020	-3.98%	-4.73%	-51.24%	+15.92%	+34.62%	-5.71%	+15.50%	+4.20%	-5.76%	-2.67%	+37.25%	-17.89%
2019	+55.00%	-1.35%	+0.59%	+10.21%	+29.79%	-14.55%	-4.26%	+5.56%	+10.53%	-15.48%	-10.99%	+11.39%
2018	+4.17%	-15.60%	-21.21%	+20.51%	-7.45%	+9.08%	-9.91%	+1.52%	-8.99%	+9.49%	+1.16%	+14.29%
2017	+7.73%	-6.77%	-13.06%	+4.48%	-19.05%	-2.94%	+21.21%	-1.30%	+3.55%	-9.98%	-0.33%	+22.79%

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