Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKI - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKI - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

80.74%

2008

84.16%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	70%	50%	80%	70%	67%	80%	50%	56%	56%	67%	67%
Average return %	-0.32%	-2.55%	-8.00%	+9.57%	+8.59%	-7.35%	-2.17%	+1.20%	+4.89%	+3.75%	+12.36%	+6.31%
2026	-18.78%	-0.95%	-10.72%	+3.43%	+1.55%	-17.65%	-7.81%	+1.48%	-14.04%	--	--	--
2025	-7.89%	+10.63%	+2.17%	-7.48%	+18.80%	+6.90%	-4.30%	+25.36%	-1.00%	+0.80%	-9.99%	+3.75%
2024	+27.16%	-3.39%	+10.53%	+3.17%	+23.08%	0.00%	-8.75%	-16.16%	+6.86%	+14.98%	+125.00%	+12.29%
2023	-5.88%	+8.75%	-21.26%	-5.11%	+0.77%	+41.98%	-0.54%	+10.81%	-2.44%	-2.50%	-7.69%	+28.89%
2022	-12.66%	-4.50%	+20.42%	+39.13%	-5.94%	-15.28%	-7.45%	-2.54%	+7.83%	-1.21%	-14.29%	-19.05%
2021	-38.27%	-3.02%	+0.22%	+20.89%	-6.07%	-65.36%	-15.82%	-8.05%	+31.39%	+30.56%	+8.51%	-10.20%
2020	-4.53%	-4.02%	-48.39%	+9.38%	+34.29%	-5.67%	+6.77%	+9.15%	-6.58%	-3.18%	+25.96%	-15.06%
2019	+43.46%	+0.49%	+2.08%	+9.24%	+37.36%	-9.76%	-5.59%	+1.41%	+11.11%	-10.83%	-12.15%	+7.98%
2018	-1.50%	-14.66%	-16.82%	+9.03%	+0.59%	+4.90%	-3.74%	-4.66%	-9.16%	+11.88%	-2.20%	+15.98%
2017	+15.67%	-14.84%	-18.18%	+14.07%	-18.51%	-13.55%	+25.58%	-4.77%	+5.97%	-6.73%	-1.95%	+32.21%

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