Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKK - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKK - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

62.32%

1999

91.39%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	80%	70%	78%	56%	70%	70%	60%	67%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	+2.74%	-1.07%	-10.08%	+7.37%	+8.21%	-7.64%	-1.97%	+1.41%	+5.94%	+0.79%	+13.54%	+8.80%
2026	-17.43%	-5.49%	-14.53%	+3.33%	+3.87%	-13.04%	-9.14%	+3.14%	-14.02%	--	--	--
2025	-6.80%	+9.82%	-2.23%	-9.71%	+22.91%	-3.45%	-7.73%	+34.16%	+3.02%	+2.43%	-12.21%	+4.60%
2024	+31.16%	-1.77%	+7.04%	+1.35%	+16.31%	+3.72%	-3.45%	-14.29%	+1.67%	+6.56%	+136.92%	+13.57%
2023	+8.40%	+12.55%	-16.07%	-8.20%	0.00%	+35.74%	-5.96%	+11.33%	-2.80%	-1.74%	+1.88%	+32.31%
2022	-11.76%	-4.00%	+15.83%	+28.54%	-2.99%	-9.62%	-5.53%	-4.73%	+12.29%	-16.84%	-17.72%	-23.08%
2021	-41.98%	-1.65%	+7.06%	+11.73%	-1.50%	-64.47%	-17.57%	-15.77%	+37.86%	+26.27%	+8.75%	-7.61%
2020	-1.42%	-2.72%	-46.29%	0.00%	+33.51%	-6.22%	+13.17%	+3.60%	-2.90%	+3.73%	+27.70%	-17.46%
2019	+60.29%	-2.14%	-4.37%	+11.76%	+34.50%	-11.52%	-11.55%	+5.56%	+15.26%	-13.24%	-11.84%	+8.96%
2018	-0.16%	-11.37%	-26.54%	+20.00%	-7.07%	+3.26%	+6.84%	-9.36%	-12.50%	+7.95%	-7.48%	+26.87%
2017	+7.11%	-3.98%	-20.67%	+14.87%	-17.41%	-10.81%	+21.21%	+0.50%	+1.59%	-8.03%	-4.15%	+41.00%

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