Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKL - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKL - Seasonality

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Correlation

2024

89.12%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	90%	60%	60%	50%	67%	60%	56%	67%	67%	67%	56%
Average return %	+3.32%	-4.64%	-7.59%	+10.19%	+7.85%	-6.98%	-0.51%	+0.38%	+7.99%	-1.24%	+13.19%	+7.05%
2026	-16.02%	-0.93%	-10.52%	-1.68%	+5.34%	-11.75%	-13.89%	0.00%	-19.20%	--	--	--
2025	-7.98%	+5.78%	+5.46%	-6.94%	+22.49%	0.00%	+0.27%	+26.29%	+3.80%	-1.59%	-9.00%	-1.16%
2024	+38.17%	-12.71%	+12.03%	-3.95%	+19.12%	+3.70%	-11.43%	-16.40%	+7.72%	+7.76%	+135.46%	+10.59%
2023	+14.29%	-10.00%	-13.33%	-6.41%	-3.77%	+42.35%	+4.00%	-2.88%	-4.95%	-3.65%	+0.54%	+40.86%
2022	-8.87%	-2.21%	+12.22%	+40.73%	-5.44%	-11.36%	-9.74%	+6.06%	+3.57%	-10.34%	-20.38%	-15.46%
2021	-38.80%	-2.55%	-1.75%	+25.78%	-2.83%	-65.27%	-10.99%	-15.29%	+70.14%	+8.16%	-1.13%	-5.34%
2020	-7.41%	-3.33%	-42.07%	+8.84%	+28.91%	-6.67%	+10.39%	+8.82%	-7.14%	-5.70%	+23.70%	-23.35%
2019	+47.27%	-3.70%	+2.56%	+14.25%	+37.86%	-7.62%	-9.11%	+8.51%	+5.40%	-11.98%	-5.45%	+12.61%
2018	-0.31%	-11.72%	-19.65%	+14.54%	-3.85%	+6.00%	-1.89%	-3.85%	-11.00%	+8.99%	-0.21%	+13.64%
2017	+12.90%	-5.00%	-20.90%	+16.73%	-19.38%	-19.19%	+37.25%	-7.47%	+4.33%	-2.83%	-4.85%	+31.02%

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