Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKN - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKN - Seasonality

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Correlation

2018

74.86%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	78%	60%	70%	50%	60%	67%	50%	56%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	+0.42%	-2.85%	-6.87%	+7.75%	+9.13%	-6.28%	-2.01%	-1.06%	+5.28%	+4.85%	+11.85%	+9.92%
2026	-16.06%	-10.26%	+1.74%	-2.76%	-0.29%	-10.12%	-12.57%	+4.25%	-11.87%	--	--	--
2025	-5.15%	+9.25%	+3.17%	-8.72%	+20.22%	+5.14%	-1.33%	+27.48%	+2.33%	-0.90%	-8.29%	+4.10%
2024	+20.97%	-5.00%	+12.28%	+0.31%	+24.61%	+1.25%	+1.48%	-22.14%	-7.50%	+24.32%	+129.35%	+8.06%
2023	+1.82%	+7.14%	-21.11%	-5.63%	-2.54%	+41.65%	0.00%	-1.62%	-2.75%	+5.08%	-8.60%	+45.88%
2022	-6.70%	-6.41%	+17.81%	+32.56%	+3.16%	-14.97%	-18.00%	+6.34%	+10.09%	-7.50%	-20.27%	-6.78%
2021	-39.60%	-4.00%	+1.85%	+18.86%	-3.44%	-65.35%	-13.71%	-14.90%	+33.85%	+32.56%	+5.26%	-12.92%
2020	-7.46%	-1.51%	-49.24%	+9.68%	+36.67%	-10.33%	+16.00%	+2.76%	-6.04%	-3.00%	+25.92%	-12.87%
2019	+45.45%	0.00%	+2.50%	+10.37%	+33.70%	-10.41%	-10.06%	+0.41%	+15.93%	-10.57%	-12.71%	+13.43%
2018	-3.10%	-12.00%	-17.27%	+6.81%	-2.26%	+14.53%	-8.09%	-5.60%	-8.69%	+9.28%	+1.91%	+14.58%
2017	+14.03%	-5.73%	-20.47%	+15.98%	-18.49%	-14.23%	+26.20%	-7.62%	+10.31%	-5.61%	-5.94%	+35.79%

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