Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKO - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKO - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

63.79%

2018

87.22%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	80%	50%	70%	67%	60%	80%	60%	67%	50%	56%	56%
Average return %	+1.63%	-2.54%	-7.84%	+6.88%	+10.22%	-6.05%	-1.36%	+0.01%	+5.17%	+3.24%	+13.54%	+4.46%
2026	-12.64%	-1.28%	-13.73%	+1.61%	+6.77%	-20.71%	-6.63%	-1.61%	-12.93%	--	--	--
2025	-2.36%	+4.40%	+2.74%	-7.79%	+20.56%	+3.87%	-1.51%	+26.13%	+2.86%	0.00%	-7.78%	-5.87%
2024	+30.34%	-4.59%	+14.09%	-3.61%	+25.00%	+0.50%	-7.96%	-15.14%	+4.78%	+14.59%	+128.12%	+8.37%
2023	-3.80%	+8.47%	-18.23%	-14.01%	0.00%	+51.85%	-2.44%	+4.50%	-5.26%	-5.56%	+4.28%	+20.00%
2022	-8.71%	-2.20%	+20.00%	+25.00%	+7.00%	-6.85%	-12.71%	-4.21%	+4.00%	-2.31%	-19.29%	-10.24%
2021	-38.24%	-6.06%	+1.38%	+20.45%	-2.83%	-66.80%	-3.51%	-19.39%	+38.35%	+26.09%	+11.21%	-13.18%
2020	-7.50%	-3.51%	-47.90%	+11.83%	+34.62%	-9.00%	+12.72%	+8.77%	-7.81%	+0.69%	+23.45%	-16.42%
2019	+45.45%	-3.75%	+3.25%	+13.08%	+33.37%	-10.34%	-13.95%	+10.81%	+10.24%	-11.50%	-10.50%	+11.73%
2018	-0.77%	-11.63%	-21.23%	+12.47%	-4.95%	+12.08%	-5.20%	-4.90%	-10.31%	+12.41%	-2.86%	+15.79%
2017	+14.52%	-5.27%	-18.80%	+9.81%	-17.37%	-15.10%	+27.64%	-4.90%	+9.70%	-5.23%	-4.76%	+30.00%

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