Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKP - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FMCKP - Seasonality

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Correlation

Election

55.21%

2008

71.59%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	60%	67%	60%	60%	60%	70%	70%	50%	63%	67%	67%	56%
Average return %	+4.50%	-1.44%	-10.23%	+7.55%	+9.40%	-5.87%	-0.87%	+1.06%	+5.70%	+3.48%	+9.85%	+8.16%
2026	-14.37%	-4.16%	-11.78%	-0.43%	+3.17%	-9.81%	-7.93%	+6.76%	-23.20%	--	--	--
2025	-3.71%	+9.96%	-5.78%	-6.49%	+21.56%	+1.66%	-2.04%	+29.69%	+1.20%	+3.17%	-11.54%	-1.09%
2024	+31.86%	-5.64%	+4.86%	-1.43%	+33.63%	-4.19%	+9.46%	-22.58%	0.00%	+13.00%	+127.14%	+10.39%
2023	+20.83%	+15.52%	-26.57%	-10.98%	+7.31%	+38.30%	-2.15%	+10.06%	-6.57%	+4.59%	-12.28%	+43.33%
2022	-8.33%	-11.17%	+25.73%	+31.86%	-8.64%	-2.90%	-8.95%	-6.11%	+3.72%	+0.67%	-22.05%	-31.43%
2021	-42.47%	+3.57%	+0.46%	+16.70%	-1.96%	-67.00%	-13.33%	-15.38%	+40.50%	+27.35%	+0.92%	-3.89%
2020	-6.65%	-4.11%	-48.57%	+11.11%	+33.70%	-7.26%	+6.85%	+9.51%	-5.24%	-1.82%	+29.63%	-16.57%
2019	+56.00%	0.00%	+5.77%	+2.42%	+32.84%	-6.24%	-14.49%	+7.78%	+17.53%	-15.13%	-14.47%	+18.13%
2018	-3.85%	-13.60%	-24.07%	+18.90%	-7.69%	+11.11%	-5.00%	-5.26%	-2.33%	+3.87%	-0.55%	+10.13%
2017	+15.68%	-4.76%	-22.31%	+13.86%	-19.91%	-12.38%	+28.87%	-3.85%	+2.50%	-4.39%	-8.16%	+44.44%

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