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Election
74.01%
2008
77.71%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.07%
-3.83%
-2.79%
+1.96%
+5.74%
-5.25%
-3.96%
+1.80%
+4.51%
+1.53%
+14.86%
+5.98%
2026
-16.76%
-2.20%
-15.73%
+2.30%
+5.15%
-9.86%
-14.06%
+3.64%
-15.79%
--
2025
+1.54%
-4.04%
+5.00%
-3.61%
+6.60%
+4.44%
-5.42%
+28.44%
+4.77%
-3.67%
+1.87%
-10.06%
2024
+31.40%
-11.02%
+13.33%
+1.18%
+21.26%
+4.52%
-4.98%
-16.28%
+2.97%
+15.68%
+128.22%
+18.18%
2023
+18.33%
+11.62%
-18.61%
-7.36%
+3.97%
+39.24%
-8.96%
+12.38%
-3.95%
+0.59%
-0.58%
+32.06%
2022
-11.29%
-3.38%
+20.97%
+24.44%
-7.14%
-6.73%
-9.28%
-2.05%
+2.09%
-7.39%
-22.70%
-23.81%
2021
-40.54%
+0.97%
+11.29%
-0.48%
-3.85%
-64.00%
-15.28%
-12.13%
+29.85%
+26.44%
+13.64%
-13.20%
2020
-3.75%
-0.73%
-26.74%
-16.07%
+23.40%
+3.45%
-0.40%
+0.40%
-9.33%
-1.47%
+29.48%
2019
+54.29%
-0.94%
+7.26%
+10.35%
+22.60%
-6.09%
-12.04%
+7.89%
+11.22%
-10.75%
-9.63%
+8.75%
2018
+1.85%
-21.82%
-13.02%
+2.14%
+2.56%
-2.90%
+1.44%
-8.63%
-1.11%
+2.25%
+13.96%
2017
+5.65%
-6.74%
-11.63%
+6.67%
-16.67%
-20.00%
+33.75%
-5.70%
+11.60%
-4.53%
-8.84%
+37.76%
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