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Election
71.86%
2008
77.93%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.92%
-6.29%
-6.82%
+7.59%
+8.27%
-5.27%
-3.99%
+2.90%
+4.96%
+2.08%
+13.98%
+8.66%
2026
-8.30%
-8.63%
-13.30%
-3.70%
+4.92%
-11.56%
-11.54%
-4.79%
-11.75%
--
2025
-6.46%
+2.34%
+3.59%
-5.67%
+19.71%
+2.33%
0.00%
+27.27%
-6.07%
+2.21%
-4.84%
+1.72%
2024
+28.52%
-14.70%
+17.57%
-2.30%
+17.65%
+2.25%
-8.80%
-19.03%
+8.28%
+14.68%
+128.00%
+12.28%
2023
+0.88%
+1.45%
-17.14%
-8.97%
-5.30%
+52.00%
-2.63%
+10.81%
-6.34%
-6.25%
+7.78%
+39.18%
2022
-9.69%
-5.37%
+22.68%
+31.09%
-4.49%
-14.43%
-12.16%
+11.38%
+4.21%
-3.85%
-26.80%
-6.56%
2021
-36.49%
-5.26%
+1.85%
+18.18%
+0.96%
-68.00%
-10.71%
-6.67%
+40.00%
+27.55%
+4.00%
-12.69%
2020
-3.81%
-7.33%
-50.80%
+13.04%
+40.38%
-6.03%
+10.26%
-6.33%
-3.45%
+27.14%
-19.33%
2019
+43.50%
+2.01%
+1.11%
+10.37%
+33.26%
-9.62%
-9.63%
+5.69%
+15.66%
-12.79%
-7.14%
2018
-5.07%
-16.03%
-15.00%
+9.09%
-5.88%
+8.33%
-4.81%
+2.83%
-14.54%
+5.75%
+20.43%
2017
+6.08%
-11.33%
-18.80%
+14.81%
-18.55%
-7.92%
+18.06%
-8.74%
+9.78%
-5.09%
+35.29%
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