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Election
63.55%
2008
75.66%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.31%
-2.76%
-8.10%
+10.32%
+6.88%
-8.17%
-2.47%
+2.59%
+4.38%
+3.78%
+13.50%
+5.23%
2026
-12.40%
-4.89%
-18.26%
+8.53%
-3.81%
-9.14%
-10.78%
+7.20%
-21.64%
--
2025
+0.78%
+4.17%
-4.53%
-5.03%
+23.53%
+1.19%
-7.01%
+26.27%
+2.24%
-0.04%
-4.90%
-10.56%
2024
+27.88%
-9.17%
+15.05%
-3.15%
+26.15%
-1.08%
-0.41%
-15.41%
-0.81%
+13.11%
+132.75%
+11.21%
2023
+7.28%
+11.43%
-19.23%
+0.79%
-1.57%
+26.80%
-3.47%
+15.20%
-5.10%
+7.32%
-2.51%
+29.14%
2022
-13.82%
-8.56%
+23.98%
+32.08%
-7.32%
-11.56%
-5.23%
+1.15%
+3.64%
-10.09%
-20.73%
-19.69%
2021
-39.52%
-0.94%
-1.89%
+21.69%
-3.86%
-66.01%
-11.52%
-13.36%
+32.81%
+39.88%
+3.19%
-10.52%
2020
-7.78%
-2.19%
-47.34%
+9.79%
+32.27%
-12.09%
+11.67%
+9.25%
-7.10%
-3.68%
+33.40%
-19.20%
2019
+55.50%
+0.90%
+3.57%
+10.65%
+27.64%
-4.14%
-12.95%
+1.83%
+16.62%
-12.27%
-17.59%
+20.38%
2018
-3.32%
-19.92%
-15.02%
+15.38%
-8.46%
+3.15%
-0.21%
-2.32%
-10.81%
+4.85%
-0.69%
+16.41%
2017
+8.47%
+1.59%
-17.33%
+12.52%
-15.77%
-8.81%
+15.26%
-3.90%
+7.93%
-5.05%
-1.45%
+29.93%
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