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Election
75.72%
2008
82.14%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.10%
-2.41%
-7.82%
+7.69%
+6.13%
-6.51%
-2.70%
+2.94%
+5.10%
+1.99%
+14.48%
+7.97%
2026
-18.82%
+1.88%
-16.25%
+3.28%
-0.81%
-10.14%
-9.53%
+3.01%
-17.05%
--
2025
-0.22%
+5.26%
-4.41%
-5.40%
+18.24%
+5.72%
-5.51%
+26.94%
-0.94%
+2.02%
-2.99%
-3.24%
2024
+21.15%
-4.91%
+11.47%
+8.06%
+15.08%
+2.21%
-4.18%
-15.92%
+6.37%
+14.33%
+120.39%
+11.87%
2023
-3.79%
+2.54%
-10.16%
-15.90%
-1.82%
+36.30%
-12.50%
+24.53%
-2.74%
+0.26%
-4.09%
+21.07%
2022
-11.58%
-3.57%
+16.54%
+27.12%
-5.83%
-12.39%
+0.81%
-3.01%
+10.54%
-11.40%
-16.67%
-6.58%
2021
-39.10%
-2.67%
+1.19%
+19.41%
-2.46%
-64.55%
-20.23%
-1.79%
+21.82%
+28.36%
+16.28%
-5.00%
2020
-6.94%
-3.03%
-45.79%
+5.86%
+32.52%
-9.16%
+7.66%
+6.74%
-3.47%
+34.56%
-19.49%
2019
+46.81%
+2.34%
+3.11%
+7.38%
+32.95%
-8.53%
-10.93%
+4.50%
+12.66%
-10.79%
-11.84%
+13.66%
2018
-7.08%
-17.31%
-16.28%
+7.22%
-6.74%
+5.44%
-0.74%
-2.23%
-6.08%
+0.58%
+4.02%
+15.91%
2017
+8.57%
-4.59%
-17.65%
+19.90%
-19.79%
-9.95%
+28.18%
-13.36%
+9.15%
-2.01%
-9.30%
+43.49%
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