Federal National Mortgage Association - FNMAP - Seasonality

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Federal National Mortgage Association - FNMAP - Seasonality

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Correlation

2007

78.55%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	50%	60%	60%	70%	60%	50%	56%	56%	56%	67%
Average return %	+1.15%	-2.35%	-6.67%	+7.40%	+5.94%	-6.93%	-2.64%	+2.04%	+4.25%	+1.63%	+15.06%	+8.69%
2026	-16.70%	-5.93%	-10.41%	-1.04%	-5.00%	-9.54%	+0.31%	-3.33%	-15.20%	--	--	--
2025	-6.89%	-0.30%	+3.59%	-5.20%	+20.73%	-4.04%	-10.05%	+37.21%	-1.92%	-6.91%	-0.79%	+9.65%
2024	+34.09%	-6.78%	+11.82%	-2.44%	+17.50%	+5.67%	-11.54%	-15.48%	+13.11%	+9.52%	+124.78%	+15.99%
2023	+15.35%	+5.58%	-14.82%	-4.00%	-6.58%	+33.81%	+1.07%	+7.85%	-3.36%	+5.38%	-3.60%	+37.07%
2022	-10.39%	+2.32%	+3.97%	+40.33%	-4.85%	-12.86%	-11.71%	+6.10%	-1.25%	+6.58%	-24.70%	-23.97%
2021	-46.28%	-0.38%	+4.25%	+21.98%	-1.32%	-69.23%	-8.33%	-16.36%	+24.78%	+28.22%	+8.70%	-3.75%
2020	-7.34%	+0.29%	-45.44%	+1.82%	+31.58%	-6.56%	+11.73%	+9.04%	-10.75%	-13.78%	+54.79%	-14.34%
2019	+54.23%	+1.55%	+7.69%	+5.60%	+28.38%	-6.44%	-10.47%	+3.38%	+14.32%	-12.53%	-17.19%	+11.65%
2018	-3.92%	-16.73%	-11.06%	+2.16%	-4.76%	+8.33%	-1.54%	-4.58%	-6.66%	+4.09%	+1.57%	+11.17%
2017	-0.62%	-3.10%	-16.32%	+14.82%	-16.32%	-8.46%	+14.13%	-3.43%	+9.96%	-5.92%	-8.01%	+34.72%

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