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Election
66.51%
2008
78.68%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.65%
-2.93%
-7.27%
+6.87%
+8.51%
-6.17%
-2.82%
+1.40%
+6.59%
+3.28%
+12.99%
+6.96%
2026
-14.84%
+3.70%
-11.52%
-1.68%
+8.55%
-14.09%
-9.72%
+1.12%
-14.16%
--
2025
-6.54%
+3.59%
+3.03%
-0.50%
+20.78%
+4.90%
-5.33%
+19.37%
-2.06%
+1.33%
-10.88%
+1.60%
2024
+22.05%
-7.63%
+9.92%
+8.02%
+20.19%
-0.97%
-7.41%
-10.32%
+0.47%
+20.33%
+111.46%
+9.55%
2023
-5.13%
+0.90%
-23.21%
-8.14%
-0.63%
+49.68%
-9.36%
+7.98%
-3.48%
-0.90%
+2.27%
+43.11%
2022
-8.33%
-7.69%
+21.97%
-5.68%
-4.66%
-5.46%
-3.04%
+15.36%
-11.41%
-27.30%
-1.27%
2021
-32.98%
-4.00%
+0.54%
+13.15%
+1.43%
-66.56%
-8.45%
-9.74%
+47.73%
+33.85%
+12.07%
-20.00%
2020
-5.69%
-3.90%
-41.55%
+7.90%
+31.04%
-11.17%
+7.17%
+8.80%
-4.21%
-7.66%
+29.76%
-19.36%
2019
+28.06%
+8.76%
+6.71%
+7.26%
+23.56%
-8.98%
-7.22%
+4.84%
+10.15%
-12.21%
-9.22%
+12.31%
2018
-11.99%
-18.44%
+11.30%
-1.41%
+0.16%
-0.47%
-0.64%
-11.84%
+8.53%
+10.54%
+5.14%
2017
+15.87%
-11.00%
-20.12%
+11.23%
-12.69%
-10.00%
+18.06%
-4.41%
+7.23%
-2.30%
-1.76%
+31.54%
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