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Election
85.00%
2008
93.85%
Probability %
Average return %
+8.92%
+5.64%
-0.52%
+1.47%
+5.12%
+3.29%
+1.18%
+7.22%
-1.58%
+7.33%
-0.05%
+4.13%
2026
+33.86%
+22.13%
+6.44%
+3.48%
+29.15%
+0.33%
-24.22%
-21.42%
+3.33%
--
2025
+17.94%
-17.26%
-24.38%
+32.79%
+20.37%
+12.14%
+35.21%
+22.66%
+10.48%
+18.97%
-0.14%
-7.56%
2024
-2.47%
+24.28%
+9.33%
-7.20%
+20.98%
+8.79%
-10.92%
+26.23%
-3.88%
+9.09%
-14.07%
+6.90%
2023
+14.21%
-15.56%
+32.11%
-5.18%
+3.78%
-4.45%
+20.34%
-4.93%
-5.19%
-7.03%
+4.20%
+14.11%
2022
-3.26%
+2.81%
+2.19%
-15.51%
-20.25%
-11.90%
+2.70%
+16.67%
-13.53%
+56.52%
+33.33%
-17.92%
2021
+30.00%
+27.62%
+1.92%
-9.68%
-28.57%
-0.83%
+1.82%
+1.79%
+8.33%
-29.15%
+5.14%
2020
-6.49%
0.00%
-44.51%
+12.50%
+15.74%
+2.40%
+13.28%
-8.28%
+10.53%
+28.57%
+16.40%
2019
+7.62%
+11.67%
-4.48%
+3.52%
-20.38%
-2.37%
-16.50%
+1.16%
+1.72%
-3.39%
-8.19%
+17.83%
2018
-3.74%
+11.65%
+2.17%
+12.77%
-5.66%
+4.40%
+3.83%
-13.65%
-7.26%
+2.76%
2017
+1.54%
+0.76%
+4.51%
-2.16%
+17.65%
+36.87%
+5.94%
+12.93%
+2.67%
-13.38%
-7.73%
-0.47%
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