Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FREJP - Seasonality

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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation - FREJP - Seasonality

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Correlation

Midterm

84.45%

2016

88.55%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	50%	60%	60%	78%	60%	70%	60%	50%	75%	57%	56%	56%
Average return %	-4.13%	-1.05%	-11.93%	+7.05%	+7.70%	-6.43%	+0.76%	+0.78%	+6.39%	+0.19%	+15.92%	+14.11%
2026	-24.48%	+10.01%	-20.63%	+8.33%	-1.35%	-7.99%	-10.17%	-2.42%	-10.29%	--	--	--
2025	+6.49%	-0.92%	+1.76%	-18.23%	+29.02%	-6.70%	-2.68%	+32.38%	+2.93%	+1.28%	-6.16%	-1.09%
2024	+25.11%	-6.46%	+0.36%	+7.07%	+18.44%	+1.14%	+6.07%	-20.77%	+3.36%	+7.64%	+135.80%	+10.63%
2023	-19.73%	+7.97%	-7.69%	-20.00%	-7.08%	+56.95%	-1.71%	+6.10%	0.00%	-6.85%	-4.41%	+44.62%
2022	-16.43%	+9.97%	+3.63%	+32.50%	-0.94%	-12.38%	-6.96%	+2.80%	+13.64%	0.00%	-19.80%	-6.48%
2021	-42.07%	-1.79%	+3.03%	+20.71%	-7.41%	-65.58%	-9.79%	-13.56%	+32.55%	+19.53%	+14.85%	-9.48%
2020	0.00%	-2.22%	-46.02%	0.00%	+34.21%	-10.59%	+17.54%	+7.31%	-7.86%	+0.15%	+34.82%	-18.95%
2019	+29.31%	+1.67%	-1.64%	+13.00%	+31.27%	-5.39%	-17.29%	+8.56%	+12.96%	-7.26%	-13.89%	+5.57%
2018	0.00%	-25.00%	-26.10%	+22.42%	-10.53%	+3.06%	+6.74%	-8.56%	-6.43%	0.00%	-1.12%	+46.65%
2017	+0.51%	-3.78%	-26.04%	+4.69%	-8.67%	-16.86%	+25.80%	-4.08%	+6.38%	-12.80%	+3.21%	+55.56%

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