Lehman Brothers Holdings Capital Trust III - Seasonality

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Lehman Brothers Holdings Capital Trust III - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

67.89%

2011

71.64%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	57%	63%	67%	50%	60%	50%	75%	57%	67%	57%	50%	63%
Average return %	+48.40%	-5.54%	+10.13%	+71.95%	+9.21%	-0.74%	+65.86%	-2.91%	-3.71%	+22.03%	+19.80%	+26.97%
2026	0.00%	+10.00%	0.00%	-9.09%	0.00%	+10.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+9.09%	--	--	--
2025	-40.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+33.33%	+50.00%	+83.33%	-9.09%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2024	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	--	--	--	--	--	--	+66.67%
2023	+210.00%	-93.55%	0.00%	+650.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-86.67%	0.00%	0.00%	+50.00%	+233.33%	-70.00%
2022	0.00%	-67.14%	+8.70%	-4.00%	0.00%	+20.83%	+589.66%	-65.00%	-62.86%	+180.77%	-64.38%	-61.54%
2021	+2.70%	+18.42%	+30.52%	-25.71%	+34.22%	+30.73%	-65.13%	-68.91%	-91.16%	-27.27%	0.00%	+337.50%
2020	-22.47%	+4.71%	-62.98%	+19.79%	+126.57%	-7.41%	+49.17%	-32.96%	+49.17%	-44.13%	+40.00%	-20.71%
2019	+362.47%	-73.91%	+44.56%	+61.41%	-4.76%	-55.00%	+11.11%	-4.50%	+97.91%	-25.93%	+7.14%	+5.93%
2018	+21.33%	+12.77%	+94.76%	-6.19%	-51.47%	-10.58%	+24.58%	+28.48%	-13.63%	+17.78%	-18.68%	-13.46%
2017	-50.00%	+133.33%	-14.29%	+33.33%	-12.50%	-28.57%	+20.00%	+33.33%	0.00%	+25.00%	-39.00%	-1.64%

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