Triad Guaranty Inc. - TGIC - Seasonality

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Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	57%	57%	57%	63%	67%	71%	57%	71%	80%	67%	50%	67%
Average return %	+37.38%	+2469.98%	+83.90%	+230.40%	-11.14%	+608.82%	-3.68%	+17.41%	+5546.59%	-23.89%	+9.17%	+11.93%
2026	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	--	--	--	--	--	--
2025	0.00%	+24850.00%	-99.60%	0.00%	0.00%	-50.00%	0.00%	+200.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-66.67%
2024	0.00%	-90.91%	+900.00%	+900.00%	-99.00%	0.00%	+100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2023	+16.67%	0.00%	0.00%	+1328.57%	-93.00%	+5614.29%	-97.50%	+10.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2022	-90.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+100.00%	+50.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	+49833.33%	-99.80%	0.00%	+100.00%
2021	+137.62%	-13.33%	-23.08%	+25.00%	0.00%	-32.75%	-77.70%	-66.67%	0.00%	-80.00%	0.00%	0.00%
2020	-27.39%	+13.57%	+25.79%	-30.03%	-57.13%	+37.50%	-27.03%	+9.63%	+1.36%	+4.63%	-42.71%	+25.94%
2019	+24.00%	-19.35%	-20.00%	+25.00%	0.00%	-40.00%	+53.33%	-26.09%	-2.94%	+9.09%	-11.11%	+20.50%
2018	+350.00%	-44.44%	+60.00%	-16.25%	-10.45%	-16.67%	-20.00%	+19.95%	+4.21%	-40.00%	+96.67%	-15.25%
2017	-37.13%	+4.27%	-4.09%	-28.25%	+98.15%	-33.00%	+35.82%	+9.89%	+83.33%	-8.91%	+39.72%	+42.86%

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Correlation

Pre-election

51.76%

2009

53.24%

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Weekly average

Monthly average