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Election
85.94%
2020
93.46%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.07%
+2.60%
+5.00%
-3.90%
+5.06%
-0.40%
+7.14%
+4.04%
-8.03%
-5.60%
+9.26%
+3.91%
2026
-1.04%
-6.84%
-3.15%
-15.75%
+4.25%
-8.82%
+15.50%
+4.50%
-16.38%
--
2025
+16.65%
+2.04%
-4.20%
+9.53%
-4.76%
+3.67%
-9.90%
+8.99%
-2.88%
-17.40%
+0.41%
+9.27%
2024
-18.48%
+31.58%
+24.45%
-24.49%
+4.24%
-6.91%
+38.04%
-8.79%
-3.01%
-3.85%
-0.14%
-11.26%
2023
+3.98%
-8.86%
+5.14%
-8.35%
+3.38%
+0.31%
-2.51%
-11.20%
-16.88%
-29.90%
+23.63%
+24.65%
2022
-30.77%
-5.81%
+11.57%
-24.45%
+2.68%
-8.51%
+25.09%
-2.32%
-22.65%
-8.13%
+19.25%
-12.66%
2021
-8.26%
-4.26%
+0.37%
+14.49%
+6.71%
+3.89%
+2.70%
+7.82%
-15.45%
+23.12%
+6.90%
+5.32%
-7.02%
+5.60%
-9.64%
+16.04%
+10.41%
+1.77%
+11.44%
+19.31%
-12.27%
-6.46%
+8.79%
+13.33%
2019
+13.58%
+4.17%
+9.63%
+0.81%
+0.54%
+10.00%
-6.67%
-6.75%
-8.22%
+0.38%
+13.23%
+6.48%
2018
+3.59%
+6.58%
+16.39%
-12.83%
-4.58%
-3.77%
+8.32%
+10.39%
-2.37%
+6.54%
-10.23%
2017
+7.07%
+1.83%
-0.54%
+5.98%
0.00%
+5.13%
+1.46%
+20.51%
-1.33%
-5.80%
+4.72%
+10.25%
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