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Election
50.00%
2010
Probability %
Average return %
+33.34%
+129.00%
-13.69%
+6.80%
-10.37%
+13.65%
+17.95%
+43.99%
-15.97%
-12.65%
+27.40%
+52.20%
2026
0.00%
+12.50%
+0.00%
--
2025
+700.00%
2024
2023
-44.63%
-42.42%
-99.89%
2022
+1.95%
+177.78%
-61.98%
-7.92%
+14.25%
-30.00%
+3.75%
-7.06%
-21.11%
+64.32%
-14.86%
2021
+300.00%
-15.00%
-39.22%
+29.68%
-40.30%
+37.50%
+278.79%
-55.90%
+5.22%
-39.12%
2020
+11.44%
+74.48%
-14.57%
-41.47%
-42.86%
+47.50%
+171.19%
+0.50%
-24.38%
-32.89%
-74.12%
+13.64%
2019
+20.00%
+933.33%
+43.55%
+80.90%
+18.01%
+24.21%
-6.78%
+36.36%
+33.33%
-25.00%
-33.33%
-10.00%
2018
-20.00%
-23.73%
-22.22%
+257.14%
-80.00%
2017
+22.50%
-51.02%
+29.17%
+29.03%
-50.00%
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