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Election
81.08%
2000
80.37%
Probability %
Average return %
+0.30%
-0.91%
-0.55%
+1.43%
+1.10%
-0.84%
-0.09%
+0.20%
-1.20%
-1.54%
+1.88%
-2.31%
2026
+1.30%
+4.94%
-8.36%
+1.90%
-1.49%
-1.89%
-0.19%
-2.13%
+4.35%
--
2025
+6.47%
+1.76%
+9.83%
+5.61%
+1.66%
+3.59%
-1.58%
-4.81%
-1.52%
-8.38%
+4.66%
-3.74%
2024
-7.90%
-18.74%
+6.39%
+3.66%
+6.55%
-8.98%
+7.67%
+5.29%
+7.21%
-1.02%
-1.44%
2023
+0.47%
-1.23%
-5.16%
-0.16%
+1.82%
-3.57%
-0.17%
+2.69%
-4.92%
-16.55%
+4.75%
-5.13%
2022
-0.56%
-0.99%
+5.69%
-1.75%
-0.96%
-2.90%
-0.28%
+0.43%
-8.96%
+2.19%
+2.29%
-3.59%
2021
+1.93%
+0.54%
-2.55%
-1.38%
+0.56%
-1.25%
+0.85%
+1.12%
-3.31%
+1.71%
+1.83%
2020
-0.90%
-1.81%
-4.91%
+0.65%
+8.97%
+0.59%
+1.61%
-1.87%
+8.06%
-3.66%
+1.97%
+0.28%
2019
+1.48%
-1.45%
+7.68%
-4.10%
+1.11%
-1.41%
+0.16%
+5.39%
+0.75%
-0.45%
+0.45%
2018
+6.05%
+7.36%
-6.01%
+2.08%
-0.73%
+4.41%
+0.42%
0.00%
-12.61%
+2.24%
-4.85%
2017
-5.29%
-1.62%
+1.04%
-3.99%
-5.12%
-1.31%
+2.75%
-1.26%
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