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Election
53.90%
2008
66.36%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.71%
+0.73%
-0.14%
+2.07%
+1.95%
-5.47%
-0.62%
+3.53%
-0.48%
+0.22%
+2.82%
+0.36%
2026
+0.99%
-2.63%
-4.91%
+20.23%
+11.80%
-1.65%
-0.33%
-0.17%
-3.18%
--
2025
+3.21%
+11.09%
+2.61%
-4.32%
+8.31%
-3.33%
+3.68%
+18.16%
+7.33%
+3.17%
-7.02%
+5.72%
2024
+4.53%
-3.73%
+2.56%
+2.22%
+7.07%
-13.20%
0.00%
+2.34%
+6.57%
-6.17%
+6.86%
2023
+13.27%
-6.06%
-1.61%
+4.92%
-7.24%
-2.58%
+8.65%
-2.12%
-4.61%
-1.42%
+0.52%
2022
+4.82%
-7.04%
+5.19%
+5.86%
-11.68%
-9.77%
+1.15%
+12.43%
-3.85%
-4.45%
-4.76%
-3.96%
2021
-9.91%
+6.90%
+7.02%
+1.40%
-0.09%
-3.71%
-9.05%
+4.43%
-8.54%
+15.01%
-1.35%
-3.86%
2020
+7.35%
-3.87%
-15.20%
-4.78%
+4.27%
-13.31%
-8.94%
-0.67%
-6.47%
-14.62%
+38.14%
-3.48%
2019
-2.24%
+8.15%
+2.04%
+1.82%
-5.07%
+10.84%
-6.31%
+7.25%
+2.20%
+1.32%
-0.16%
2018
+2.54%
-1.45%
+1.66%
-4.18%
-0.83%
-2.16%
+0.41%
-3.42%
-0.84%
+12.68%
-3.78%
2017
+8.30%
+1.97%
+2.40%
-1.59%
-2.77%
+3.44%
+1.18%
-4.00%
+5.51%
-0.45%
-6.03%
+5.38%
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