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Election
85.84%
2008
86.29%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.07%
+4.62%
-4.75%
-1.49%
+8.94%
-3.67%
-0.80%
+4.30%
-3.87%
-2.19%
+3.68%
+1.77%
2026
0.00%
+1.86%
-7.20%
+12.25%
+10.04%
-0.53%
-4.81%
-0.56%
-2.82%
--
2025
+2.17%
+11.49%
-3.19%
-10.46%
+11.74%
+0.80%
+40.90%
-8.38%
-3.80%
-6.25%
+3.21%
2024
+3.73%
+5.00%
-6.86%
+8.18%
+0.38%
-5.71%
-4.11%
-0.23%
-1.88%
+6.81%
+3.59%
+6.35%
2023
+13.64%
-4.26%
-4.43%
+1.21%
+10.00%
+2.91%
-4.59%
-3.70%
-2.88%
-9.90%
+9.89%
-3.60%
2022
+7.20%
-4.17%
-1.76%
-11.22%
+3.79%
-7.59%
+3.95%
+0.44%
-12.37%
-3.34%
+3.93%
+7.46%
2021
-13.64%
+22.49%
+0.78%
-4.67%
+5.87%
-6.31%
-4.08%
+4.77%
-8.39%
+5.09%
-9.20%
+4.46%
2020
+4.31%
+9.81%
-26.85%
-2.67%
+5.97%
-13.38%
-8.13%
+2.74%
-3.53%
-18.66%
+33.92%
-0.82%
2019
-1.47%
+3.11%
-0.03%
-5.99%
+14.81%
-3.40%
+8.21%
-1.91%
-1.87%
+4.24%
-5.12%
+0.69%
2018
+1.23%
+1.16%
+2.03%
+1.38%
+20.83%
-3.86%
-5.07%
+1.10%
-2.44%
-1.24%
+5.90%
2017
+3.49%
-0.28%
-0.02%
-2.91%
+6.02%
+0.35%
+1.67%
-0.51%
+6.93%
-3.50%
-1.28%
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