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Election
81.23%
2008
82.16%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.11%
-4.41%
-3.97%
+1.18%
+2.84%
-9.75%
+5.65%
+2.09%
-0.15%
-0.61%
-0.69%
+6.12%
2026
-3.12%
-5.81%
-27.40%
+13.21%
+34.17%
+0.62%
-5.56%
+20.26%
-14.13%
--
2025
-6.74%
+18.33%
-15.02%
+6.63%
+2.07%
-22.84%
+23.03%
-1.60%
-7.07%
-2.34%
+4.79%
-8.57%
2024
-5.73%
-11.34%
0.00%
+0.91%
+14.48%
-26.09%
+10.70%
+0.97%
-3.35%
-14.36%
-17.92%
+35.92%
2023
-2.74%
-12.44%
-4.21%
-3.13%
+4.23%
+6.27%
-3.82%
+1.81%
-9.22%
-11.33%
+3.08%
+11.97%
2022
-23.25%
-8.44%
-1.15%
+2.92%
-9.08%
+18.17%
-11.55%
-21.12%
+0.09%
+0.57%
+54.61%
2021
+1.96%
+5.38%
+0.22%
-4.51%
-14.38%
-11.29%
+4.59%
+11.39%
+72.54%
-11.09%
-6.87%
-1.16%
2020
+6.29%
+0.32%
-6.69%
+8.77%
-12.02%
-2.29%
-6.76%
+4.55%
-39.91%
+4.74%
+34.22%
-24.18%
2019
-9.62%
-3.79%
-3.02%
-6.78%
+2.74%
-7.24%
+12.30%
-3.36%
+15.80%
-22.64%
+3.88%
+5.96%
2018
+22.63%
-4.55%
+3.15%
+10.81%
-13.69%
-14.93%
+4.67%
-3.07%
-2.45%
+60.35%
+19.51%
-15.99%
2017
-10.81%
-21.72%
+14.41%
-2.83%
+7.85%
-10.63%
-0.82%
+1.48%
-6.55%
-8.95%
-47.44%
-3.46%
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