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Election
91.63%
2009
89.69%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.44%
+0.78%
-3.87%
+3.18%
+2.34%
-2.89%
+5.71%
+11.85%
-6.80%
+0.65%
+1.94%
-0.23%
2026
+4.57%
+21.59%
-40.38%
-18.09%
+12.99%
-13.41%
-4.87%
+26.05%
+3.32%
--
2025
+26.39%
+20.88%
-6.36%
-6.47%
-3.46%
-15.77%
+39.15%
+16.82%
+29.58%
-18.38%
-0.50%
-7.46%
2024
-19.49%
-19.21%
+18.57%
-7.14%
+21.60%
-22.63%
+3.77%
-0.30%
-19.15%
-3.01%
-28.29%
+16.76%
2023
+0.39%
-12.26%
-11.88%
-9.05%
+18.53%
+28.26%
+2.10%
-6.60%
-13.03%
-3.43%
-0.75%
-11.11%
2022
-37.63%
-1.51%
+3.92%
-20.91%
-5.94%
-6.70%
-11.10%
-4.99%
-43.06%
+31.15%
-8.53%
-0.61%
2021
+22.32%
+16.88%
-4.33%
+32.17%
-23.55%
+4.01%
+6.46%
+77.40%
-35.55%
+41.96%
+45.56%
-12.56%
2020
+21.21%
-9.79%
+1.42%
+46.84%
-10.16%
+15.43%
+8.64%
+10.71%
+34.48%
-13.25%
+4.93%
+21.28%
2019
+6.31%
+1.48%
+1.17%
-4.91%
+3.65%
-6.89%
-3.31%
+3.09%
-8.37%
-13.45%
-0.40%
+2.80%
2018
+30.69%
-4.14%
+2.59%
+9.83%
-0.13%
-9.22%
+16.93%
-3.02%
-10.64%
+1.49%
-7.04%
2017
-10.36%
-6.14%
+9.56%
+9.82%
-1.99%
-0.68%
+0.34%
-5.12%
+3.96%
-4.15%
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