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Election
82.55%
2008
90.86%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.77%
+3.24%
-1.01%
+7.16%
-2.87%
-1.25%
+2.84%
-1.57%
+0.94%
+2.14%
+4.43%
-0.28%
2026
-8.75%
+4.11%
-17.11%
+9.52%
-2.90%
+2.24%
-1.46%
-2.22%
-6.06%
--
2025
0.00%
+6.74%
+14.74%
+1.83%
-1.80%
+28.44%
+5.00%
+6.12%
-5.77%
+6.80%
+1.91%
2024
-1.27%
+1.28%
+5.06%
-3.61%
-2.53%
+2.60%
+20.25%
-4.21%
+5.49%
-7.29%
2023
+9.41%
-2.15%
+3.30%
-2.13%
-9.78%
-1.20%
-2.44%
+2.50%
2022
-4.12%
+4.30%
-3.23%
-1.14%
+10.34%
-6.25%
-6.67%
-3.57%
+4.94%
2021
-8.08%
+6.59%
+8.25%
+7.62%
-4.42%
-4.63%
-0.97%
-3.92%
+1.02%
+3.03%
-1.02%
2020
-5.83%
-11.34%
-30.23%
+26.67%
-3.95%
-4.11%
-4.29%
+8.96%
-6.85%
+16.18%
+27.85%
-1.98%
2019
+2.38%
-2.33%
-10.32%
+2.65%
-0.86%
-0.87%
-2.63%
-7.21%
+5.83%
-5.50%
+0.98%
2018
+19.30%
+1.47%
+8.70%
+2.00%
+1.31%
-1.94%
-21.71%
-11.76%
-0.95%
+24.04%
2017
+6.00%
+8.49%
+22.61%
+13.48%
-3.75%
+14.94%
-5.08%
-2.38%
+25.61%
-14.56%
+2.27%
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