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Election
42.70%
1999
84.39%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.63%
+1.08%
-3.09%
+2.38%
+3.51%
-0.93%
+1.67%
+1.18%
-0.57%
-2.09%
-1.05%
-0.63%
2026
+5.04%
+40.80%
-11.93%
+9.68%
+5.88%
+8.89%
-6.63%
0.00%
-3.83%
--
2025
-14.06%
-16.36%
+4.35%
+3.47%
-24.16%
+19.47%
+7.41%
+6.21%
-0.65%
-19.61%
-3.25%
2024
+3.37%
+8.37%
-1.72%
-0.87%
-1.76%
-10.31%
-3.00%
-2.06%
+6.84%
-5.42%
-5.21%
+5.49%
2023
-7.00%
-5.75%
-2.82%
+1.93%
-9.00%
+0.52%
+11.40%
+6.98%
-9.57%
+4.81%
-4.13%
-0.48%
2022
-7.86%
-0.47%
-3.81%
-3.47%
+7.18%
-3.35%
+5.94%
-1.87%
+3.33%
+6.91%
+6.47%
-1.62%
2021
-7.23%
+0.65%
+15.48%
-6.15%
+20.83%
-7.39%
-2.66%
+8.74%
+1.51%
+7.92%
-2.75%
+8.02%
2020
+4.74%
-5.53%
-18.62%
+11.76%
-2.92%
+20.48%
-8.50%
+5.46%
-11.92%
-12.35%
+22.82%
-9.29%
2019
+3.00%
-0.97%
-1.96%
+7.00%
+10.28%
-8.47%
-13.70%
-10.92%
-3.43%
-3.55%
2018
+0.94%
-4.67%
-5.49%
-0.41%
+11.46%
-10.65%
+10.88%
+2.83%
-6.42%
+0.98%
-2.91%
2017
-7.26%
-5.22%
+6.42%
+0.88%
-2.61%
-2.68%
-4.59%
+1.92%
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