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Election
62.42%
2008
69.32%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.42%
-3.02%
-0.52%
+5.68%
-2.10%
+4.98%
+6.77%
-0.44%
+3.09%
-6.29%
-2.48%
-1.59%
2026
-3.57%
+8.02%
+20.00%
-6.67%
+1.53%
+48.74%
-4.73%
+4.26%
-1.36%
--
2025
-10.43%
-2.91%
+3.00%
+5.83%
-6.42%
-2.45%
+6.53%
-10.38%
+14.74%
-13.30%
-14.81%
+4.35%
2024
+2.97%
-2.88%
-3.96%
-1.55%
+22.51%
-0.85%
+4.31%
+14.88%
-1.48%
-4.51%
-9.45%
2023
0.00%
-23.56%
-8.81%
-7.39%
-17.79%
+2.99%
+5.80%
-12.33%
-22.66%
+10.10%
-7.34%
2022
+0.84%
+13.54%
-9.36%
+1.21%
-1.60%
-8.13%
+0.88%
+0.44%
+6.55%
-3.28%
+4.24%
+2.64%
2021
+3.98%
-5.11%
+3.14%
+22.83%
-5.31%
-2.80%
-6.54%
+7.00%
+8.65%
-13.63%
-5.74%
+3.48%
2020
-6.90%
-15.56%
-18.42%
+50.54%
-5.00%
+24.81%
+40.96%
+6.41%
-6.83%
+3.88%
-4.56%
-1.74%
2019
+6.92%
+13.67%
-1.27%
-8.33%
+6.29%
+1.97%
-5.81%
-3.42%
-2.84%
+4.38%
+1.40%
2018
+12.21%
+5.44%
-0.65%
+8.44%
-4.19%
-13.12%
+23.02%
-4.09%
+1.83%
-10.18%
-13.33%
2017
+18.18%
-20.88%
+11.11%
-4.76%
-5.71%
-4.55%
+9.17%
+6.87%
-11.43%
+5.65%
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