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Election
85.68%
2008
85.37%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.83%
+7.15%
-0.53%
-0.88%
-3.08%
-0.75%
+5.47%
-0.37%
-0.21%
+1.27%
-0.26%
-1.05%
2026
+1.03%
+8.47%
-8.13%
+20.07%
-17.00%
-0.68%
+8.25%
-7.94%
-4.14%
--
2025
-6.77%
0.00%
+4.70%
+6.94%
+6.11%
-2.52%
-0.74%
+2.97%
-1.08%
+9.49%
-7.67%
+5.42%
2024
-10.99%
+17.28%
-4.21%
-3.66%
-6.46%
-8.54%
+26.67%
-18.95%
+18.18%
-1.47%
-4.46%
-2.33%
2023
+24.56%
+2.00%
-2.24%
-6.30%
-4.89%
+9.32%
+10.88%
-5.04%
-3.35%
-12.43%
+0.66%
-10.49%
2022
-5.23%
-12.58%
-8.42%
-16.09%
+22.37%
+5.60%
+0.35%
-7.75%
-1.91%
-1.17%
+5.91%
+4.46%
2021
-18.10%
+36.05%
+14.81%
-7.44%
+1.07%
-8.49%
+7.54%
+9.97%
-7.11%
-7.39%
+2.56%
-4.44%
2020
-4.31%
+0.50%
-4.98%
-5.76%
-1.67%
+1.69%
+10.56%
+31.16%
-7.28%
+28.51%
+8.04%
-6.25%
2019
-6.04%
+23.39%
+10.90%
+14.96%
-13.38%
+1.72%
-8.86%
-1.85%
-6.60%
-0.51%
-1.02%
+7.18%
2018
-2.50%
-6.59%
-1.18%
-6.35%
-8.90%
-5.58%
-0.99%
-6.97%
-1.07%
-0.55%
2017
+10.03%
+2.94%
-6.57%
-5.20%
-8.06%
+1.05%
+0.69%
+7.24%
-2.57%
-5.28%
-2.44%
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