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Election
77.89%
2003
89.39%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.51%
+2.84%
-3.76%
-1.46%
+2.37%
-5.22%
-0.90%
-1.45%
+3.95%
-3.30%
+3.22%
+0.12%
2026
-6.63%
+0.59%
-14.71%
+4.14%
-2.65%
-8.16%
+1.48%
-5.11%
-4.62%
--
2025
-4.12%
-5.52%
-9.09%
-4.29%
+0.75%
-0.74%
+10.45%
+7.43%
+1.89%
+9.26%
-2.26%
+4.62%
2024
0.00%
+4.38%
-4.20%
-0.73%
-25.00%
+7.84%
-3.64%
+21.70%
+6.98%
+26.09%
-2.30%
2023
-2.69%
-1.10%
-1.68%
-2.84%
-7.60%
+5.70%
-6.59%
-5.13%
-1.35%
-0.68%
2022
-1.61%
+5.46%
-6.22%
-6.70%
-5.39%
-13.29%
+10.95%
+7.24%
-11.04%
+13.10%
+13.41%
2021
+0.66%
-1.96%
+10.00%
+1.21%
+30.54%
+1.38%
-0.45%
+6.85%
-10.68%
-8.13%
-3.12%
2020
-3.47%
+6.59%
-12.92%
-5.81%
+10.96%
-7.41%
+5.33%
+3.80%
+6.71%
-11.43%
+2.58%
-4.40%
2019
-1.60%
+17.84%
-2.75%
-5.19%
+1.00%
-2.96%
-5.08%
-3.21%
-4.97%
-4.07%
+4.85%
2018
+1.88%
-24.92%
-16.39%
+0.98%
-5.83%
+3.61%
-6.47%
2017
+2.45%
+2.10%
+1.17%
-3.19%
-3.29%
-0.31%
+1.86%
+0.61%
-1.52%
-0.62%
-1.24%
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