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Election
50.76%
2002
77.04%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.17%
+5.34%
-3.75%
-2.23%
+2.27%
+11.10%
-1.59%
+5.50%
+3.77%
+1.22%
+1.30%
+4.41%
2026
+16.24%
+1.56%
-19.45%
+19.78%
+6.32%
+94.78%
-47.13%
+33.02%
-9.45%
--
2025
-2.35%
-4.39%
-1.26%
-4.13%
-6.22%
+12.98%
-5.17%
+18.31%
+1.15%
+3.29%
-4.92%
+5.93%
2024
-12.40%
+27.34%
-2.79%
-5.93%
-2.70%
-4.46%
-4.64%
+17.99%
+1.61%
-5.98%
-4.68%
2023
+5.17%
+1.75%
-2.77%
-12.86%
+0.18%
-3.44%
-4.17%
-6.88%
-1.76%
-6.91%
-3.42%
+2.73%
2022
-20.08%
+2.34%
-4.29%
-13.46%
+16.14%
+1.58%
+13.60%
-13.89%
+3.24%
+10.49%
-3.56%
+3.52%
2021
+1.09%
-5.18%
+10.63%
-6.64%
+2.98%
+2.85%
+36.27%
+22.52%
-15.39%
+4.11%
+27.78%
+16.43%
2020
-7.82%
+17.92%
-17.10%
+0.34%
+3.15%
+13.77%
+5.42%
+5.19%
-15.32%
+15.90%
-6.86%
+1.16%
2019
+3.60%
+10.76%
+14.92%
+19.73%
+3.85%
+5.77%
-11.56%
-7.27%
+37.77%
-7.36%
-5.27%
+26.46%
2018
0.00%
-7.11%
-11.44%
-1.42%
-13.73%
+2.20%
+2.56%
-1.70%
-10.16%
+13.91%
-11.82%
2017
-5.16%
+1.34%
-8.30%
-7.68%
+0.41%
+0.90%
-3.01%
+6.04%
+7.91%
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