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Election
57.59%
2000
86.02%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.44%
+5.56%
-0.63%
-2.50%
+5.62%
-7.24%
+3.82%
+3.37%
-0.69%
+1.28%
+7.63%
-4.03%
2026
-4.57%
+0.57%
-15.71%
+1.36%
+64.44%
-25.02%
-7.69%
-1.37%
-9.53%
--
2025
+2.81%
+6.75%
-2.86%
-4.19%
+2.59%
-1.42%
+34.08%
+15.16%
-10.05%
+18.89%
+22.19%
-13.24%
2024
-9.56%
-3.13%
-0.81%
-1.43%
-5.58%
-12.69%
+6.02%
-2.13%
+28.26%
+17.70%
+8.80%
-11.03%
2023
+7.59%
-2.10%
-3.83%
-4.15%
+10.48%
-6.78%
+0.16%
-7.10%
-1.39%
-3.35%
+5.46%
-2.42%
2022
-11.91%
+16.70%
+7.67%
-19.62%
+19.09%
-4.96%
-1.22%
-4.40%
-7.18%
+15.87%
+13.36%
-6.50%
2021
-11.46%
+6.09%
+4.55%
+4.12%
-1.10%
-5.11%
+2.58%
+40.18%
-0.49%
-8.18%
+3.21%
-1.38%
2020
-6.85%
+6.93%
-13.56%
+5.39%
+4.44%
+3.83%
+11.89%
-3.66%
-12.55%
-3.04%
+9.19%
-8.62%
2019
-13.32%
+29.31%
+20.66%
-3.33%
-7.89%
-10.79%
-2.11%
-7.53%
-6.11%
2018
-2.65%
-9.09%
+4.00%
-1.76%
-7.34%
-16.02%
+6.08%
-0.65%
-12.47%
+22.50%
-0.41%
2017
-4.44%
+3.55%
-6.36%
-30.21%
+3.67%
-2.93%
+8.18%
-6.28%
-6.33%
-9.93%
-0.29%
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