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Election
82.00%
2007
86.87%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.85%
+6.09%
-3.56%
-0.15%
-3.02%
-3.55%
+3.33%
-2.90%
+3.64%
-2.67%
+2.68%
+3.85%
2026
+7.76%
+3.86%
-4.99%
-4.88%
-20.15%
-11.86%
+8.34%
-1.69%
-3.50%
--
2025
-1.86%
+0.87%
+0.41%
-9.81%
-4.78%
-2.14%
+0.67%
+2.83%
-0.77%
-2.34%
+12.79%
-0.47%
2024
-15.42%
+14.91%
-6.16%
+6.01%
-2.91%
-18.13%
+4.48%
+0.50%
+29.84%
-13.98%
-3.82%
+3.63%
2023
-1.46%
+7.83%
+1.47%
-14.97%
-12.34%
-9.70%
+17.52%
-22.57%
-2.41%
-12.63%
+3.20%
-11.80%
2022
-4.03%
-0.09%
-11.48%
+7.96%
+0.58%
+16.46%
-6.66%
-0.12%
-5.50%
+1.87%
+5.14%
2021
+0.74%
+3.76%
+3.04%
+10.27%
+2.37%
-9.10%
-28.88%
+12.91%
-0.61%
+18.81%
-3.37%
+12.30%
2020
-9.27%
+8.56%
-14.89%
+21.81%
-7.03%
+1.80%
+42.20%
+5.42%
-2.00%
+9.66%
+8.54%
+6.18%
2019
+0.38%
+17.87%
+10.20%
-2.88%
-8.42%
-0.24%
-2.07%
-0.41%
-3.66%
-3.46%
+7.74%
+19.23%
2018
+11.83%
+0.80%
-6.18%
-7.17%
+23.78%
-5.73%
-17.78%
-19.30%
+7.54%
-13.37%
+0.96%
-7.75%
2017
+2.82%
+2.51%
-6.99%
-7.82%
-1.28%
+3.12%
+10.48%
-0.07%
+4.98%
-1.24%
-3.80%
+8.21%
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