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Election
86.65%
2020
85.65%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.26%
-1.12%
+2.26%
+7.28%
+1.87%
+2.05%
+1.02%
+0.33%
+0.63%
-5.19%
+4.13%
+6.45%
2026
-9.19%
-2.45%
-17.60%
+12.70%
-7.25%
-16.63%
+44.03%
-13.16%
-4.40%
--
2025
+1.62%
+5.77%
+22.45%
+10.57%
+10.86%
+5.71%
-12.81%
+4.09%
-12.02%
+5.00%
+6.80%
-8.05%
2024
-11.89%
-1.06%
-4.64%
+2.92%
+4.80%
-13.46%
+8.66%
-7.53%
+33.28%
-2.87%
+15.17%
-4.18%
2023
+5.40%
+3.87%
-16.24%
-10.21%
-14.87%
-0.18%
+1.89%
-19.03%
-5.28%
-1.03%
+0.52%
-7.22%
2022
-25.98%
-4.99%
-12.85%
-10.02%
+15.93%
+30.73%
-19.44%
-14.59%
-7.83%
-6.20%
-1.90%
+16.59%
2021
+9.02%
-10.54%
+2.15%
+38.30%
-11.67%
+0.43%
-35.63%
+27.73%
-3.35%
-10.06%
+17.20%
-4.22%
+26.20%
-11.14%
+40.18%
+17.19%
+45.01%
-6.83%
+16.86%
+3.51%
-5.31%
-16.07%
+6.99%
+52.96%
2019
+8.99%
+16.87%
+18.23%
-18.18%
+23.53%
+4.50%
+22.87%
+6.18%
-12.23%
-2.28%
+9.95%
2018
-1.31%
-2.99%
-5.26%
-3.50%
-1.38%
-0.25%
+1.40%
+0.88%
-2.86%
-2.17%
+0.78%
-0.52%
2017
-3.63%
+3.38%
-2.43%
-4.56%
-2.60%
+0.75%
-1.48%
+2.90%
-1.04%
-6.12%
+2.70%
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